Armenian demographer concerned over population dynamics
An Armenian demographer on Saturday expressed his concerns over the country’s decreasing population dynamics.
“The demographic situation is very alarming today, with the birth rate being down and expected to decrease even further,” Ruben Yeganyan said at a news conference, adding that he expects deaths to outnumber births in the not very distant future.
“Today we still have natural growth, with the births exceeding deaths by 13,000-14,000 cases, but the situation is likely to change in at least five years,” he said, pointing out to the migration flow as a factor adding to the declining statistics.
Yeganyan said he sees that the population annually decreases by 1%, with the threat of an ageing population being very realistic against the backdrop of the increasing mortality rate.
Asked whether the government takes any preventive steps, the demographer says he knows that the existing resources are quite sufficient for undertaking essential efforts. “There are certain policy elements, such as lump sums in the amount of 50,000 Drams (US $ 470) for newborns. I think it is necessary to encourage the second – if not the third or fourth - child’s birth [in families] as a pledge of demographic welfare,” he added.
The demographer stressed the importance of boosting the births as the very first step towards changing the demography. “And that’s a very costly undertaking, with the outcome being very difficult to guarantee. The European countries did face the problem and made colossal spendings to improve the situation, but they did not achieve drastic changes; just mitigated the [statistics],” he noted.
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