Packages over Nagorno-Karabakh suicidal for Armenia - analyst
The peace packages over Nagorno-Karabakh were initially expected to lead the process to a stalemate, an Armenian political analyst said today, commenting on the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs’ recent visit to the region and the upcoming developments in the process.
Speaking to Tert.am, Alexander Kananyan described the plan under consideration as “absolutely unacceptable” and “practically unfeasible” for Armenia. “The packages proposed in the negotiations were suicidal for Armenia. Instead of normalizing the situation, they were doomed to undermine the process, inciting new wars and threatening the loss of the Armenian statehood,” he said, citing the changes observed in the recent round of talks.
Kananyan highlighted particularly an “important hue” in the negotiations after the four-day war in April. “I am hopeful that hue will become a de-facto trend. Clearly, the settlement of conflict will remain the de-jure trend in the negotiations; de-facto, however – especially after the April war – the negotiations focused more on fostering the post-April fragile ceasefire instead of searching avenues to settle the conflict. After the blitzkrieg, the negotiations have assumed a kind of more ‘constructive shape’ as what’s being discussed is really discussable and can be secured.”
According to Kananyan, a diplomacy governed by a sovereign country’s state interest should have insisted on the frontline being the maximum concession (an option to which the Armenian side would have never agreed). “Hence, we do not have an Armenian diplomacy, as Armenia today is not a sovereign state. Armenia is now governed by a colonial regime, which never meets the state interest; not having any other option, it is guiding itself by minor interests, especially the northern empire’s [Russia’s] commands,” he added.
In response to a remark that the Armenian side is mainly accused of not clearly stating its position and demands, with the Armenian-Azerbaijani FMs to meet in Hamburg, and the position Armenia is expected to state at the meeting, Mr Kananyan said:
“I cannot speak of such situation using the pronoun ‘we.’ The negotiators representing Armenia have nothing in common with Armenian statehood in political terms. They are members of an illegitimate ruling group controlled by a foreign superpower and centers,” he said.
Mr Kananyan does not place any hopes on the negotiators.
“The April war showed that we have soldiers that feel their responsibility for their homeland. We have officers who are ready to defend their homeland without retreating. We have a much maturer society in Artsakh [Nagorno-Karabakh]. And now I place my hopes on them,” he said.
According to him, the negotiations will continue a format “without sense or content.”
“I would be happy if the negotiations were focused on the ceasefire until Azerbaijan is able to test it.”
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