‘The Successor’ operation launched in Armenia – political engineer
What is going on within Armenia’s ruling party is not a “smear war” nor is it populism. Rather, it is “The Successor” operation, the political scientist Karen Kocharyan told Tert.am as he commented on the Control Chamber’s report and “offshore scandal.”
“If it were a pre-election period, I would agree it is populism. However, since the process is within one and the same team, and the Constitution does not allow Serzh Sargsyan to run for the third presidential term, they have launched ‘The Successor’ operation,” he said.
“The struggle within the ruling party is over who is going to be their representative in the next presidential election,” Kocharyan said.
The Control Chamber’s report and the offshore scandal proved to be a catalyst for the process.
The ruling party has been in a state of ferment for a certain period. “During the Yerevan municipal election, when the campaign headquarters was led [by Eduard Sahrmazanov], but not by Hovik Abrahamyan, a confrontation between old and young republicans was being talked about. In the course of time the young strengthened their positions,” he said.
This struggle may involve pro-western and pro-Russian groups, old and young, political and oligarchic wings.
As to who are the parties “in terms of persons,” with Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan being one of them, Kocharyan said that the premier’s political team is clearly supporting him.
The Prosperous Armenia Party (PAP) parliamentary group’s passivity is one more proof that the struggle is going on within the ruling Republican Party of Armenia (RPA).
The expert does not, however, rule out that the PAP or the circles supporting it may prove to be President Serzh Sargsyan’s successors. At present, “they have to resolve this problem within their own party.”
The expert expects the outcome as a result of foreign political problems this autumn.
“If there develops a situation that both Russia and Europe insist on ‘either…or’, that is, when the problem of choice arises,” Kocharyan said.
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