Draft constitutional reforms raise opposition’s advantages - MP
Armen Roustamyan, the leader of the ARF-D faction in parliament (who participated in the Venice Commission’s forum in Yerevan earlier today), admits that the main concern is over the draft’s Article 89, which addresses the mechanisms of establishing a sustainable majority.
“Yes, the problem is about the concept of creating a sustainable majority. And it was [proposed] based on an analysis of the consequences of different countries’ parliamentary systems. Most parliamentary countries may fall short of securing a [political] majority,” he told our correspondent, not ruling out such a possibility also for Armenia.
The opposition lawmaker added that their political force has ruled out the option of permanent elections. “The absence of a majority necessitates a new election, but a new election may fall short of securing a majority and so on and so forth. Italy, for example, formed a government with 50-60 years,” he added.
Another problem, Rustamyan said, is that a government can be formed but create a minority government. “There are such countries too. And [the system] is very fragile, as it may breed non0confidence,” he added.
Another factor of instability is a multi-member coalition.
“There are numerous discussions and disagreements, which causes governments to collapse,” he said.
To prevent such a situation in Armenia, the concept of sustainable majority has been introduced, which needs to be explained.
“There is a false impression that one party’s majority is in question. But it is not so and the new amendment clearly reads that parliamentary majority must be formed by means of the election law. If it does not take place, a second round will take place, with the two leading forces participating with new alliances. It is an opportunity for opposition forces as well. If they fail to unite in the first round, they cannot round one candidate and achieve a change of power. It is a door to a change of power. I am surprised the opposition political figures do not see it,” Mr Rustamyan said.
Armenia’s authorities have always avoided second rounds because they have always had problems with it.
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