Who will Tsarukyan voters support? – opinion
Armenian pollster Aharon Adibekyan has presented his forecasts on the intentions of voters originally determined to back Prosperous Armenia party’s (PAP) leader in the upcoming presidential polls.
According to him, Gagik Tsarukyan’s electorate – which is thought to be 30% of Armenia’s population – includes 20% pro-government and 10% opposition-oriented voters.
“Tsarukyan’s votes could go to [second President] Robert Kocharyan, [first President] Levon Ter-Petrosyan and the Armenian Revolutionary Federation-Dashnaksutyun. But because they haven’t nominated candidacies, some 8% electorate remains at issue,” the expert told a news conference on Friday, noting that the existing scenario will lower the voters’ activeness, increasing the incumbent president’s chances for a second term.
Tsarukyan’s decision not to run for president became clear on December 12 after the Prosperous Armenia leader said at the party’s political board meeting that he is not going to join the presidential race. In an interview with the local newspaper Chorrord Inqnishkhanutyun earlier this week, Ter-Petrosyan, who is now the leader of the opposition Armenian National Congress, said he is not going to stand as a candidate in the 2013 polls. The first president cited his age as the main reason for such a decision. The ARF-D decided not to field a candidate at a Supreme Council meeting on Wednesday.
A survey conducted by Adibekyan’s Sociometer center has revealed that 21.8% of the pro-Tsarukyan’s voters are uncertain about their choice. Some 2.2% said they will not participate in the voting, while another 0.2% answered that they will cast their vote in favor of Raffi Hovhannisyan, the leader of the opposition Heritage party (who has already nominated himself).
Adibekyan noted that some of Tsarukyan’s voters, predominantly women, will remain true to their choice, preferring not to head to the polls at all. “Because the women will remain true to their candidate, they will clearly sit at home instead of heading to the polls,” he said, adding that the PAP leader still remains a number two figure on Armenia’s political arena.
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