France not likely to cede role to Germany in Minsk Group – Armenian analyst
In an interview with Tert.am, political analyst Aghasy Yenokyan commented on possible changes in the OSCE Minsk Group format in light of the the reports that Germany may replace France as a mediator in the peace talks over Nagorno-Karabakh.
Addressing German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s statement expressing her country’s readiness to act as a negotiator in the process, the expert said he doesn’t think that such a scenario would be promising for Armenia.
“I find that the Minsk Group does fulfill its main functions, i.e. - conducting negotiations and preventing a large-scale war. Hence, I do not think that it would be right to speak of Minsk Group’s non-effectiveness, attributing all that to France. Let me also mention that France’s presence in the Minsk Group is not without any reason at all; neither [has it been selected] it at our own will. It resulted from serious negotiations, so it isn't possible to just decide and replace it with Germany,” he said.
“On the other hand, given Germany’s not quite constructive position on Russia - especially after the Ukraine conflict – all this promises quite a negative prospect to Armenia.”
Yenokyan further pointed out to France’s interest in the South Caucasus. “When all this process began, France was really interested in our region, and I don’t think its interest is any less today. So I don’t expect it to breach the status quo and cede its position willingly,” he added.
Yenokyan said he doesn’t expect a new format to raise the effectiveness of the ongoing peace talks. “There have been many attempts of the kind – to transfer [the negotiations] to the European Union, Council of Europe or the United Nations – but the Minsk Group is exactly the one that conducts the negotiations professionally. Moreover, the Minsk Group has been created for that very purpose; it is a special body pursuing its own target. Hence those organizations, which haven’t passed that path of twenty or so years, will essentially hamper the process,” he added.
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