US revising approaches to region – Armenian analyst on assistant secretary’s visit plan
The United States is essentially changing its policies in the South Caucasus region, an Armenian analyst has said, commenting on Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland’s scheduled trip to Yerevan and Baku.
“Nuland’s visit coincides with a period that essentially changes the situation in both the region and international politics. This first of all has to do with the Russia-West relations, with the United States revising its policies in Europe and the Eurasia region,” Ruben Mehrabyan told Tert.am.
Asked whether the US official, who last year visited Ukraine amid the heated turmoil in Euromaidan to offer support and aid to the protesting activists, may be interested in the domestic political developments in Armenia (given that the opposition is conducting a rally in Yerevan on February 20, the day of her visits, the expert ruled out such a possibility.
“Not in the least,” Mehrabyan said. “I have no doubt that there will be rumors on the internal political development, but I wouldn’t absolutely connect the rally with that,” he replied.
With respect to Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan’s decision to recall the Armenia-Turkey protocols, the president noted that the international community has seen during the past six years which of the state is really responsible for the last closed border in Europe.
“I think so. At least experts and the press have repeatedly commented on the issue. This opinion was shaped against the cooling of US-Turkey relations. I think that at least the United States understands Armenia well. But we should not feel satisfied because Europe’s only closed border remains closed. Moreover, Turkey’s policy is helping Russia to pursue its strategy.”
Since Armenian-Turkish rapprochement in different periods and at different levels was a response to signals by the United States and international community, have not they given up the idea?
“Yes, during the post-Soviet period the United States has exerted serious efforts at Armenia-Turkey rapprochement. However, it does not concern the Armenian-Turkish protocols. Let us remember that it was Moscow that announced Abdulla Gul’s invitation. And although I myself am supportive of Armenian-Turkish rapprochement, I have from the very beginning been against the protocols for the simple reason that they would not be effective. I have on several occasions cited a number of reasons. I think it was a trap set by Russia, and, regrettably, the West fell into it.
“And, in fact, this is a stage that has reached its logical completion and failed. And now Armenian-Turkish relations are worse than they were before the protocols were signed. I think that recalling the protocols affords an opportunity for a new process in the context of new reality and reformulating a number of all-informant issues on the agenda. I do not think they are impossible to settle.”
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