Large-scale hostilities in Nagorno-Karabakh best chance for adoption of Nagorno-Karabakh recognition bill – Modest Kolerov
In an interview with Tert.am, Russian political scientist Modest Kolerov spoke of Russia’s likely position on the Armenian government’s conclusion on the bill recognizing Nagorno-Karabakh.
Mr Kolerov, what is Russia’s position on the conclusion on the bill recognizing Nagorno-Karabakh the Armenian government approved yesterday?
Mr Lavrov said that Yereven had given assurances that Nagorno-Karabakh’s status will not be unilaterally determined. I do not know if it has properly been agreed on with the United States. I cannot say anything about what specific procedures they are, but I can say that the government has placed full responsibility on the president. His saying will be put into practice as the overwhelming parliamentary majority shares his opinion. Also, we should not forget the government approved the bill.
To be precise, the government approved a conclusion rather than the bill itself. A fine point needs noting: Armenia’s deputy FM stated that the bill would be adopted if Azerbaijan unleashed a military aggression.
The bill will turn into a law only if the Armenian president signs it into a law. The parliament may adopt it, but the president may or may not sign it. So, I say again, both the government and parliament have “washed their hands.”
And if no one has publicly stated its position, what should be expected of Russia? Russia is not going to resolve the problem. I would ask you to remember Russia is one of the mediators and cannot be either critical or supportive of it.
Russia can only assess steps in the context of conflict settlement – a right it was granted, by Armenia as well. Take the mediator mandate back from it and make any decisions. I think the large-scale hostilities along the Line of Contact between the armed forces of Nagorno-Karabakh and Azerbaijan were actually the best chance for adopting the bill recognizing Nagorno-Karabakh, which, however, was missed.
A qualifying question: if the bill recognizing Nagorno-Karabakh [Artsakh] is enforced, will Russia view it as Armenia’s withdrawal from the negotiations?
I think the negotiations have now been suspended because of Azerbaijan’s military aggression. And this is the reason for Armenia’s deciding on whether the negotiations can be guaranteed or should the process be revived.
You say the bill should have been adopted early in April. But hostilities are going on now as well, are they not?
War is going on, but on a smaller scale.
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